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Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 249 – 30.10.2022
Ministerul Apărării a anunțat o ofensivă în direcția Sud-Donețk: trupele ruse au avansat la mai bine de trei kilometri adâncime în apărarea inamicului și au ajuns la periferia Pavlovka.
▪️ Ministerul Apărării a spus că una dintre dronele navale folosite pentru a ataca Sevastopolul a fost lansată din zona de securitate a coridorului de cereale.
▪️ În direcția Kupiansk, trupele ucrainene și mercenari străini au lansat șapte atacuri fără succes, pierderile inamicului s-au ridicat la 250 de persoane
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 248 – 29.10.2022
Ukrainian forces advanced in Luhansk Oblast, and gained fire control over the Kreminna – Svatove road as the result. The Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is holding, despite the numerous attacks by Russian forces.
Russian troops managed to reach the outskirts of Vodyane north of Donetsk Airport. It’s the second meaningful advance of the enemy in this area since the start of the Russian re-invasion (Pisky being first).
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 247 – 28.10.2022
Russian forces are not making significant progress around Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast or anywhere else along the front lines.
President Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced the end of partial mobilization.
Putin may be attempting to rehabilitate Shoigu’s image in the information space to counter the growing influence of the pro-war siloviki faction.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in the direction of Kreminna and Svatove.
Russian forces continued to deploy mobilized personnel to and establish defensive positions on the west bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in northwestern Kherson Oblast.
Russian forces continued ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast.
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 246 – 27.10.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Eastern Kharkiv Oblast-Western Luhansk Oblast) Russian sources continued to claim that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast on October 27. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and other Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces unsuccessfully attacked Russian positions in the direction […]
D. Macgregor: Playing at War in Ukraine
In Ukraine going forward, Washington’s path is clear. Congress should do its duty and signal its readiness to invoke the War Powers Act, while also demanding that the Biden administration broker peace, not expand the war
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 245 -26.10.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Oskil River-Kreminna Line) Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops conducted counteroffensive operations west of Svatove on October 26. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Ukrainian forces launched five consecutive and unsuccessful attacks toward Kuzemivka (13km northwest of Svatove) from Pishchane (23km northwest […]
J. F. Matlock jr.: Why the US must press for a ceasefire in Ukraine
Some will argue that the United States has a moral obligation to support whatever the Ukrainian leaders demand since “they know best.” No, they do not know best what is in the security interests of the American people, and that should be the primary concern of any American government. They also, under the stress of war, may not be the best judges of their own ultimate security interests.
H. Brands (Bloomberg): Russia Is Right
The war in Ukraine isn’t just a conflict between Moscow and Kyiv, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov recently declared. It is a “proxy war” in which the world’s most powerful military alliance, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is using Ukraine as a battering ram against the Russian state. Lavrov is one of the most reliable […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 244 – 25.10.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Oskil River-Kreminna Line) Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops conducted limited ground attacks west of Svatove on October 25. Russian sources claimed that Russian artillery fire repelled Ukrainian forces during an attempted attack on Kuzemivka, 15km northwest of Svatove.[24] A Russian milblogger also claimed that Ukrainian […]
Scot Ritter: Singurii adulți din încăpere sunt rușii
NOTĂ: Aceasta este o transcriere a unui interviu recent cu Scott Ritter despre Clearing the FOG. Ritter spune că exercițiile militare NATO care simulează un atac nuclear împotriva Rusiei, începând cu această săptămână, ar putea declanșa război nuclear și ar trebui amânate, dar „nu sunt adulți în cameră” pregătiți pentru asta. Ritter prezice, de asemenea, […]
A. Medvedev: Abandonarea Kherson?
Retragerea trupelor și ieșirea civililor pentru a menține potențialul de luptă este o decizie logică pentru militari. Pentru cetățenii obișnuiți, acesta poate să nu fie un indicator al proceselor pe care și-ar dori să le vadă.
RB Myers: Loviturile Rusiei asupra infrastructurii Ucrainei
Kiev will try and take Kherson before end of the year. Russia is trying to hold the city with its back against the river, which is not a good position. It seems Kiev has sent reinforcements from all over Ukraine, including Kharkiv, toward Kherson. They know that if they take the city, it’ll be almost impossible for the Russians to retake it back afterwards. The Ukrainians would be able to fortify the town using the Dnieper river as a wet moat.
Military Land: Ukrainian Winter is Coming
For Ukrainian and Russian military planners, the clock is ticking. Already, rainy fall weather is bringing muddy conditions that are starting to limit the mobility of tanks and other heavy equipment.
Mordechai: Și dacă Rusia e soluția, nu problema?
Energia verde e o poveste frumoasă, dar încă foarte, foarte departe. Cu Rusia și resursele ei, Europa își poate păstra relevanța. Cu o Rusie întoarsă spre Asia, devenită inamic al Europei, mă tem că până la sfârșitul deceniului UE va fi pulbere.
R.B. Miers: Noutăți pe frontul ucrainean (oct. 2022)
Autumnal mud is coming. And then winter. And with it, 200,000 to 300,000 Russian reservists.
R.B. Miers: Last week in Ukraine
Referenda On the 20th of September, The authorities of the DPR and LPR alongside Russian controlled regions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia announced they would hold a referendum on reunification/incorporation/annexation (pick your poison) with the Russian Federation. The dates for the referenda would stretch from the 23rd to the 27th of September 2023. One question figured […]
M. Daniels. Can US kill Putin?
Greetings. A recent news article came out where it claimed that the United States was developing a plan to execute a „Decapitation Strike” on Russian President, Vladimir Putin. Additionally, a private message was sent asking us to lay this scenario out as well as discussing how it could unfold. To begin with, this whole speculation […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 223 – 4.10.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Oskil River-Kreminna Line) Ukrainian forces continued to make gains in eastern Kharkiv Oblast west of Svatove on October 4. Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian troops in Bohuslavka and Borivska Andriivka, both within 30km west of Svatove and near the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border.[18] Bohuslavka and Borivska Andriivka […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 221 – 3.10.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counter-offensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Oskil River-Kreminna Line) Ukrainian forces continued to make gains in eastern Kharkiv Oblast in the direction of the Luhansk Oblast border on October 2 and 3. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) inadvertently confirmed that Ukrainian troops advanced east of Kupyansk on October 2 […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 220 – 2.10.2022
ISW Key inflections in ongoing military operations on October 2: Military Land Day summary: Ukrainian Army liberated the key town of Lyman in the northern part of Donetsk Oblast and the nearby settlements. Russian forces, unable to gather enough reserves to support the garrison, decided to retreat towards Luhansk Oblast. Ukrainian forces will now likely […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 219 – 1.10.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces liberated Lyman on October 1. The Russian Ministry of Defense and various Russian milbloggers confirmed that Russian troops withdrew from Lyman to “more advantageous lines,” and geolocated social media footage shows Ukrainian troops in various parts of Lyman throughout the […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 218, 30.09.2022
ISW Putin announced that Russia’s usual autumn conscription cycle will start a month late on November 1, likely because Russia’s partial mobilization of Russian men is taxing the bureaucracy of the Russian military commissariats that would usually oversee the semi-annual conscription cycle.[3] Putin’s September 30 decree calls for 120,000 Russian conscripts—7,000 fewer than in autumn 2021. […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 216, 28.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued to make significant gains around Lyman on September 28, advancing from the north along the Zelena Dolyna-Kolodiazi arc and from the southeast around Yampil. Geolocated combat footage corroborates claims made by Russian milbloggers that Ukrainians took control of […]
RĂZBOI ÎN UCRAINA. UPDATE – ZIUA 216, 27.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces conducted operations to consolidate their positions on the eastern bank of the Oskil River north of Kupyansk on September 27. Ukrainian officials confirmed that Ukrainian forces liberated Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi (just east of Kupyansk), which reportedly serves as one of the largest […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 215, 26.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counter-offensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) The Ukrainian counter-offensive in Kharkiv and northern Donetsk Oblasts continued to make gains near Lyman on September 25 and September 26. Ukrainian forces likely captured Maliivka, Kharkiv Oblast, (25 km northwest of Lyman) on September 25.[27] Several Russian milbloggers reported that Ukrainian forces […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 214, 25.09.2022
ISW Key inflections in ongoing military operations on September 25 ISW identified three small changes in control of terrain in the past 24 hours: Ukrainian forces likely liberated the town of Shevchenko in Donetsk Oblast.[9] Ukrainian forces likely control Maliivka in Kharkiv Oblast Ukrainian forces are contesting Russian positions around Karpivka, Nove, Ridkodub, and Novoserhiivka […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 213, 24.09.2022
ISW Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued to make localized gains along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 24. A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian assault detachments occupied the settlements of Hrianykivka and Horobivka in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast (about 70km east of Chuhuiv).[12] Russian sources additionally indicated that […]
R. Myers (Defensionem): About russian mobilisation & stuff
The frontline seems to have stabilised itself. The Ukrainians have retaken Bilohorivka, which means the AFU is back in the Lughansk Oblast! Meanwhile, the Russians keep on making incremental gains in the Donetsk Oblast around Bakhmut and elsewhere. Heavy fighting was reported in Liman, Kreminna and around Kupiansk. The Urkainian army is trying to push […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 212, 23.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces continued to repel Russian effort to regain lost positions around eastern Kupyansk on September 23.[15] Ukrainian officials also reported that Russian forces again unsuccessfully targeted a dam over the Pechenihy Reservoir likely in an effort to flood […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 211, 22.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued limited counteroffensive operations along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian troops repelled a Russian attack on Kupyansk (northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, near the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border).[21] The General Staff report is consistent […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 210, 21.09.2022
ISW Russia’s partial mobilization will not transform the war this year and may or may not have a significant impact on Russia’s ability to continue operations at their current level next year. Ukraine and the West should neither dismiss it nor exaggerate it. Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely […]
M. Daniels (Defensionem): About Russia increasingly army în Ukraine
Russia announced recently that up to a total of 300,000 reservists will be called up for the military efforts in Ukraine. While several other media entities and personalities have already dismissed this as another Russian blunder and a fanciful act of desperation, we are not. This is a major escalation by Russia. Firstly, despite claims […]
Ucraina: se schimbă paradigma războiului
În momentul de față războiul din Ucraina se desfășoară în paradigma impusă de restricțiile Operațiunii Militare Speciale (OMS): Rusia nu putea folosi în Ucraina mai mult de 10-15% din efectivele sale militare. Deci cele sub 200.000 soldați ruși (i-am introdus în calcul și pe cei 40.000 soldați ai republicilor separatiste) înfruntau efective militare cel puțin […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 208, 20.09.2022
ISW Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued offensive operations along the Lyman-Yampil-Bilohorivka line on September 20. An unnamed senior US defense official stated that Ukrainian and Russian forces are engaged in artillery duels near Lyman.[19] Several Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops are attacking Lyman from the northwest […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 207, 19.09.2022
ISW Urgent discussion on September 19 among Russia’s proxies of the need for Russia to immediately annex Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts (much of the latter of which is not under Russian control) suggests that Ukraine’s ongoing northern counter-offensive is panicking proxy forces and some Kremlin decision-makers. The legislatures of Russia’s proxies in occupied Ukraine, the Donetsk […]
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