Ca mănășturean, sper (dacă o fi să fie, sper degeaba...) ca...
ussian forces conducted unsuccesful offensive operations northeast and northwest of Kharkiv City.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks northwest of Slovyansk and east of Siversk.
Russian forces made marginal gains southeast of Bakhmut and continued offensive operations to the northeast and southeast of Bakhmut.
Russian forces made incremental advances around Avdiivka and are continuing attempts to push southwest of Avdiivka.
Russian forces launched two assaults in northern Kherson Oblast and are continuing to redeploy troops to the Southern Axis.
La partide PSD 37% urmat de PNL 23%. Pe de altă parte, Marcel Ciolacu (25% de încredere) îl devansează nu numai pe Ciucă (18%) dar și pe Iohannis (15%) ceea ce indică faptul că (1) românii sunt sceptici cu privire la întreaga clasă politică autohtonă și (2) PSD a acționat, pe linia comunicării politice, mult mai abil decât PNL și Preșidenția.
Russian forces are transferring elements of the Eastern Military District (EMD) from the Slovyansk area to support defensive positions along the Southern Axis.
Russian forces did not conduct any offensive operations north of Slovyansk or around Siversk.
Russian forces conducted unsuccessful ground assaults on settlements south and southeast of Bakhmut.
Russian proxy authorities did not claim any territorial gains near Avdiivka as Russian forces launched unsuccessful ground assaults on Avdiivka and Pisky.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks southwest and northwest of Izyum, consistent with ISW’s assessment that Russian forces may be setting conditions for advances northwest of the current Izyum-Slovyansk line.
Russian forces continued ground attacks northwest of Slovyansk, northeast of Siversk, and to the east and south of Bakhmut.
Russian forces made marginal gains in the Avdiivka area and continued ground attacks towards Avdiivka and Pisky.
Russian forces conducted ground assaults around Bakhmut and the environs of Donetsk City as well as southwest of Izyum. One assault east of Bakhmut made limited gains.
Russian forces did not conduct ground assaults near Siversk again, suggesting that they are deprioritizing operations in that area.
Satellite imagery showed Russian reinforcements concentrated near the Ukrainian border on the ground line of communication (GLOC) leading toward Izyum.
Ukrainian forces disrupted a Russian ground assault in Kherson Oblast with preemptive artillery strikes.
A kinetic event killed and wounded scores of Ukrainian POWs in Russian-occupied Donetsk Oblast on July 28. Ukraine and Russia are blaming each other for the attack. Available visual evidence appears to support the Ukrainian claim more than the Russian, but ISW cannot independently assess the nature of the attack or the party responsible for it at this time.
Ground fighting continued north of Kharkiv City with no significant change in control of terrain.
Russian forces attempted a limited ground assault in Kherson Oblast and continued conducting combat operations without creating strike groups along occupied lines
Russian forces conducted limited ground assaults northwest of Slovyansk and northeast and southwest of Bakhmut.
Russian forces may be intensifying offensive operations around Avdiivka to reduce Ukrainian strikes in and around Donetsk City.
Russian forces may be setting conditions for renewed offensive operations toward Kharkiv City.
Russian forces attempted a limited ground offensive on the Southern Axis but are likely facing territorial losses in Kherson Oblast.
Russian forces are attempting to preserve their ground lines of communication over the Dnipro River connecting Kherson City to rear areas in eastern Kherson Oblast.
Ukrainian forces may have launched a localized counterattack southwest of Izyum.
Russian forces attacked settlements east of Siversk and northeast and southeast of Bakhmut.
Ground fighting is ongoing north of Kharkiv City.
Ukrainian forces struck the Antonivskyi Bridge for the third time in ten days on July 27, likely rendering it unusable.
Russian forces gained marginal ground northeast of Bakhmut and are continuing to fight east and south of Bakhmut.
Russian forces conducted a limited attack northwest of Izyum, likely to secure Russian rear areas on the Izyum-Slovyansk line.
Russian forces conducted limited attacks southwest of Donetsk City near the Zaporizhia Oblast border.
Russian forces focused on defending occupied lines and conducted a limited ground assault in northwestern Kherson Oblast.
Ukrainian forces continued to strike Russian logistics nodes in Kherson Oblast.
If scenario two plays out, however, Zelensky’s position will be markedly worse. He will have lost nearly half his country and an irreplaceable majority of his trained and experienced troops. It is possible to mobilize many hundreds of thousands of new troops, but years of experience and training can’t be replicated; it has to be built, and that will take years. The Ukrainian government would be faced with the ugly choice of either trying to continue the fight into 2023 – with the prospect it would continue losing even more territory and men – or seeking a negotiated settlement from a position of weakness.
An unemotional assessment of this war would lead to the conclusion that the Ukrainian political leadership should seek the best-negotiated settlement it could get now, while it still has complete control of Kharkiv, Odesa, and most of Donetsk Oblast – and before another significant city is turned to rubble and tens of thousands more of its citizens killed or wounded. But war is not an unemotional endeavor, and Zelensky has to make choices that are anguishing and very much filled with emotion.
Dar putem să le ridicăm statui? Pe care să le scuipăm cu sete, amintind în gând și de ceva strămoși și obiecte bisericești? Poate că, așa, încetul cu încetul, pas cu pas, vom înceta ca popor să avem memoria socială scurtă…
ISW Russian forces made marginal territorial gains south of Bakhmut on July 25 but are largely suffering from the same fundamental limitations that previously prevented them from rapidly gaining substantial ground during offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast. Geolocated social media footage from July 25 shows that troops of the Wagner Group Private Military Company (PMC) have […]
ISW Ukrainian officials are increasingly acknowledging Ukrainian counteroffensive operations in Kherson Oblast. Kherson Oblast Administration Advisor Serhiy Khlan stated on July 24 that Ukrainian forces are undertaking unspecified counteroffensive actions in Kherson Oblast.[1] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on July 23 that Ukrainian forces are advancing “step by step” in Kherson Oblast.[2] His statement does not make clear […]
Ukrainian forces are likely preparing to launch, or have already launched, a counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast.
Head of the Chechen Republic Ramzan Kadyrov indicated that
Russian forces conducted limited reconnaissance operations east of Bakhmut and continued limited ground attacks northwest of Slovyansk, east of Siversk, and south of Bakhmut.
ISW Key Takeaways The United States announced an additional $270 million security package for Ukraine. Ukrainian officials reiterated that they are employing monitoring mechanisms to track and account for the delivery of Western weapons to Ukrainian frontlines. Russian forces conducted ground attacks east of Siversk and to the east and south of Bakhmut. Russian forces […]
Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said the European Union had proposed relaxing some earlier sanctions to shore up global food security. Moscow hoped this would create conditions for unhindered exports of grain and fertilisers. Diplomats said last week details of the plan included Ukrainian vessels guiding grain ships through mined port waters, with Turkey […]
O foarte interesantă discuție relatată de către activenews. Deci ministrul apărării ucrainean propune ca Ucraina să devină poligon de încercare pentru armamentul de ultimă generație a NATO. Eu aș avea două chestii de remarcat: din cauza binecunoscutei corupții ucrainene (sau, pur și simplu, în decursul operațiunilor militare) acest armament ultrasofisticat riscă să ajungă pe mâinile […]
ISW Key Takeaways The current Russian operational tempo is not markedly different from the pace of Russian offensive operations during the official Russian operational pause, and Russian forces are unlikely to be able to take significant ground in the coming weeks. Russia has likely used as much as 55-60% of its high-precision weaponry reserve. Russian […]
ISW Main Effort—Eastern Ukraine Subordinate Main Effort—Southern Kharkiv, Donetsk, Luhansk Oblasts (Russian objective: Encircle Ukrainian forces in Eastern Ukraine and capture the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas) Russian forces resumed localized ground attacks northwest of Slovyansk along the Kharkiv-Donetsk Oblast border on July 20. The Ukrainian General […]
O mare dramă în social media autohtonă. Un „influensăr” de nișă și-a permis să grăiască cu gura din dotare ceea ce mulți bărbați aflați la vârsta crizei de mijloc doar în baie îndrăznesc a gândi. Țara a luat foc, „mee too” (supraponderală, vergeturi, sâni lăsați, alte alea…) a inundat platformele social media, influensărul Buhnici (până […]
Adevărul simplu este că succesul școlar al unui tânăr nu va veni niciodată din altceva decât: profesori buni, elevi silitori, disciplină intelectuală, efort constant și respect față de profesor și elev, împreună cu o orientare școlară pertinentă. Toate aceste lucruri, simple și vechi de când lumea, pot exista doar dacă punem educația din România pe […]
aruncând o privire, întâmplător, pe site-ul partidului (vorbim despre Partidul Național Liberal, partid la guvernare) observ că în pagina principală, ACTUALITATEA LIBERALĂ face trimitere la trei articole datate 29 Mai, 27 Mai, 24 Mai. Sunt sigur că, între timp, partidul a continuiat să existe. Dar dacă este așa, atunci el doarme. Sau poate că într=adevăr […]
ISW Key Takeaways Calls made by Russian nationalist and pro-war voices for the Kremlin to officially define operations in Ukraine as a war, conduct general mobilization, and pursue expanded territorial goals reached a crescendo on July 19 with some criticizing the Kremlin and others claiming that Putin has been preparing for the “Syrianization” of the […]
ISW Key Takeaways The Russian Ministry of Defense’s meeting with the leadership of the Eastern grouping of forces in Ukraine suggests that the Kremlin will not focus on seizing Slovyansk at this stage of the campaign but will instead prioritize attempting to seize Siversk and Bakhmut. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s likely effort to put the […]
Afirmam într-un articol de ieri (aici) că nu numai Putin dorea conflictul cu Ucraina, ci și Zelensky dorea, poate cu aceeași ardoare, un conflict deschis cu Rusia. De aceea a făcut cam totul (nici nu era greu, admit acest lucru) ca Putin să atace. Mai jos argumentarea mea privitor la această ipoteză, argumentare posttă în […]
ISW Russian forces are continuing a measured return from the operational pause and conducted limited ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast on July 17. As ISW has previously noted, the end of the Russian operational pause is unlikely to create a massive new wave of ground assaults across multiple axes of advance despite Russian Defense Minister Sergei […]
În primul rînd de ce ”războiul din Ucraina” și nu ”războiul ruso-ucrainean” (sau altă variantă asemănătoare?) Pentru că eu personal consider că războiul nu se duce între Rusia (puneți ce epitete doriți înainte sau după numele statului agresor) și Ucraina (puneți ce epitete doriți înainte sau după numele statului agresor) ci între Rusia și SUA […]
nu se știe cine a plătit sondajul, dat rezultatele lui apar pe pagina șefului unui think-tank. Dacă sunt corecte, rezultatele ar trebui să dea fiori reci liderilor partidelor din marea și frumoasa coaliție. Mai ales că sondajul a fost făcut anterior circului cu demiterea lui VV.
Vreme de stat în caă și ascultat Jazz. Tot Nicolas Simion, românul nostru americanizat. Tot un trio (Simion, Andy McGee, Billy Kilson). Un album bun, de ascultat (saxofonul cam acaparează prima scenă, dar pentru un fan sax ca mine, chestia asta nu e un defect). Îmi place, de asemena, faptul că Simion integrează și de […]
Ieri (dimineața) am ascultat Medeski, Martin & Wood, „Uninvisible” – dar pentru că pe de o parte nu prea mi-a plăcut, iar pe de altă parte m-am adâncit după ora 11 în muncile din grădină, iar seara am fost prea obosit să mai scriu ceva, nu am recenzat nimic din albumul respectiv. Azi am trebăluit […]
Azi am continuat cu jazz-ul. Tot un saxofonist – Chris Porter & Underground Orchestra. Cu al său ”Imaginary Cities” (ECM, 2011). Un album excepțional. Modern, actual, dar care are feeeling-ul unui jazz „clasic” – dacă prin clasic înțelegi un tot închegat, robust, în care nu ai avea ce adăuga și din care nu ai ce […]
Azi am ales, random, un alt CD. Mircea Tiberian, Maria Răducanu & Lisle Ellis, ”Rosa das Rosas” (Soft Records, 2011) Puține lucruri de adăugat. Ei fac ce știu mai bine: cântă. Ah, ar mai fi ceva: mi-am adus aminte că tot un Mircea Tiberian, dar un vinil, a fost printre primele mele discuri cumpărate din […]
Am primit acum ceva vreme un vraf de CD-uri. Azi am început să le ascult. Am început cu Santana, un album din 2005. Încă o dovadă că, în cele din urmă, și zeii muzicii îmbătrânesc. Totuși, un album ascultabil – la urma urmei. Las mai jos și melodia care dă titlul albumului – pentru un […]
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