Arhive etichete: Defensionem

Mel Daniels: Reasons for fail of Ukraine fail counter attack


Below will attempt to illustrate the potential challenges Ukraine will face with their anticipated counter attack and why it may fail or fall short (please reference articles on why it might succeed and operational factors on breaching). The Ukrainian offense might fail or fall short for the following reasons; Ukrainian forces do not appear to […]

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Mel Daniels: Ukrainian counteroffensive


The coming Ukrainian Counter Offensive:Admin note:This article is not intended to conclusively predict where and when the anticipated offense will occur. Instead, it will build upon previous articles that laid out the fundamentals for “Offensive Operations” and the “Counter Attack”. Additionally, while we respect different military doctrines across the globe, please kindly note that no […]

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RB Myers: Loviturile Rusiei asupra infrastructurii Ucrainei


Kiev will try and take Kherson before end of the year. Russia is trying to hold the city with its back against the river, which is not a good position. It seems Kiev has sent reinforcements from all over Ukraine, including Kharkiv, toward Kherson. They know that if they take the city, it’ll be almost impossible for the Russians to retake it back afterwards. The Ukrainians would be able to fortify the town using the Dnieper river as a wet moat.

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R. Myers (Defensionem): About russian mobilisation & stuff


The frontline seems to have stabilised itself. The Ukrainians have retaken Bilohorivka, which means the AFU is back in the Lughansk Oblast! Meanwhile, the Russians keep on making incremental gains in the Donetsk Oblast around Bakhmut and elsewhere. Heavy fighting was reported in Liman, Kreminna and around Kupiansk. The Urkainian army is trying to push […]

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M. Daniels (Defensionem): About Russia increasingly army în Ukraine


Russia announced recently that up to a total of 300,000 reservists will be called up for the military efforts in Ukraine. While several other media entities and personalities have already dismissed this as another Russian blunder and a fanciful act of desperation, we are not. This is a major escalation by Russia. Firstly, despite claims […]

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M. Daniels (FB): Ce poate fi retragerea rusă din Donbas


Looking forward, this and the following week will be very telling on what becomes of this situation. Despite recent claims of „Ukrainian Blitzkriegs” as well as other site[s] stealing my articles, and as well as the various claims of the entire eradication and doom of the Russian Army, the Russian Army is still very much in Ukraine, it is not yet defeated and it is not surrendering in detail or even withdrawing to Russia. It’s still there and that means what it implies.

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RB Myers (FB): Ukraine offensive update


It seems the Russian armed forces will try and build a stable defensive line along the Oskil and Seversky Donets rivers. On the one hand, water level is relatively low on those two rivers at this time of the year. On the other hand, the retreat should have freed more troops, enabling the Russians to establish defensive lines with a higher manpower density than before. This is a race between the two armies and their attached logistics.

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R. Myers (FB): Ukrainian Kherson offensive


The centre of gravity of the Ukrainian offensive seems to be situated on the „Inhulets River Bridgehead”. The area is heavily contested and both sides have sent in reinforcements. While the Russian side claimed it was about to encircle and reduce the bridgehead, the Ukrainians have actually managed to enlarge the area under their control. […]

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RBM(FB): Ukraine summary of events since the 17th of July


The offensive is in its first week. We might see Kiev push on for another 7 to 10 days after which we expect their offensive to start running out of steam. The Ukrainian leadership possibly knew this and that is maybe why they waited until the end of summer before launching this offensive: A big push limited in time before Autumn’s rain and mud freeze the frontline in place. The narrative from Kiev is already slowly changing. The offensive is now an operation destined to “grind” Russian troops and inflict “attrition” on them while degrading their capabilities. The fact that it is the side with the smallest reserve in manpower that is trying to play the attrition game is puzzling, to say the least.

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Ofensiva ucraineană în Kherson. Ziua 7 – 4.09.2022


The offensive is ambitious in scope and a considerable number of troops (including reserves from Odessa) and hardware seem to have been dedicated to this operation. Nevertheless, it seems the Ukrainians have incurred some serious losses in the past week for what amounts to very little territorial gains, all things said and done. The offensive is by no means over, but it already feels like there won’t be any major breakthrough

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