Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 262 – 12.11.2022

ISW pare relativ obiectiv în relatarea evenimentelor, dar face o discretă propagandă pro-Kiev. Military Land este un site ucrainean care oferă informații și hărți despre armata ucraineană și războiul cu Rusia. Sursele rusești sunt, evident, partizane. 

ISW

Key Takeaways

  • Russia’s withdrawal from Kherson City is igniting an ideological fracture between pro-war figures and Russian President Vladimir Putin, eroding confidence in Putin’s commitment to and ability to deliver on his war promises.
  • Russian officials are increasingly normalizing the public and likely illegal deportation of thousands of Ukrainian children to Russia.
  • The Russian military leadership is trying and failing to integrate ad hoc military formations into a more cohesive fighting force in Ukraine. 
  • Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the direction of Kreminna and Svatove.
  • Ukrainian forces continued to liberate settlements on the right (western) bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast.
  • Russian forces continued offensive operations in the direction of Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and Vuhledar.

Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories)

Eastern Ukraine: (Eastern Kharkiv Oblast-Western Luhansk Oblast)

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the direction of Kreminna and Svatove on November 12. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces repelled Ukrainian assaults within 15km northwest of Svatove near Volodymyrivka and Kuzemivka, Luhansk Oblast.[21] The Russian MoD reported that Russian forces also defeated Ukrainian forces by artillery fire in the vicinity of Pishchane, Kharkiv Oblast (24km northwest of Svatove).[22] The Russian MoD also reported that Russian actions repulsed Ukrainian assaults towards Svatove and within 21km northwest of Kreminna in the direction of Ploshchanka, Makiivka, and Chervonopopivka.[23] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian assaults within 30km northwest of Svatove near Masyutivka and Orlianka in Kharkiv Oblast and near Miasozharivka and Novoselivske in Luhansk Oblast.[24] The Ukrainian General Staff also reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian ground assaults within 21km northwest of Kreminna near Makiivka and within 12km south of Kreminna near Bilohorivka.[25] Russian forces conducted these counterattacks likely to constrain the actions of Ukrainian forces in eastern Kharkiv and western Luhansk oblasts and not to regain limited territory. Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces continued routine missile and artillery strikes in eastern Ukraine.[26]

Southern Ukraine: (Kherson Oblast)

Ukrainian forces continued to clear liberated settlements in Kherson Oblast on the right (western) bank of the Dnipro River. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Ukrainian forces have liberated over 60 settlements, and the Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing to undertake stabilization measures.[27] Ukrainian officials announced that Ukrainian regional military administration officials returned to Kherson City.[28] Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that some advanced Ukrainian units have reached the right bank of the Dnipro River.[29] Most Russian sources also acknowledged that Ukrainian forces are in control of the entire right bank, but some claimed that Russian artillery in Kakhovka is preventing Ukrainian forces from reaching the right bank.[30] Ukrainian military officials noted that Russian forces are continuing to use UAVs, MLRS systems, and artillery to strike Ukrainian forces in liberated settlements.[31] Ukrainian officials are also looking for Russian servicemen out of uniform and abandoned military equipment.[32] Social media footage showed that Russian forces have abandoned some military equipment like helicopters and armored vehicles, despite the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claims that Russian forces transferred 5,000 pieces of weaponry to the left (eastern) bank.[33]

Russian forces are continuing to engineer defensive positions on the left bank of the Dnipro River and establish logistics in southern Kherson Oblast.[34] Recent Maxar Technologies and Satellogic satellite footage showed that Russian forces have established a new base approximately 70km southeast of Kherson City, likely in an effort to protect their equipment from Ukrainian HIMARS strikes.[35] Ukrainian forces continued to strike Russian positions on the left bank and reportedly destroyed a Russian ammunition depot in Kakhovka Raion.[36]

Russian Main Effort—Eastern Ukraine

Russian Subordinate Main Effort—Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)

Russian forces conducted ground attacks near Siversk, Bakhmut, and Avdiivka on November 12. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian ground attacks east of Siversk near Verkhnokamianske, near Soledar, and near Bakhmut.[37] A Russian source claimed that Russian forces captured the Mayorsk Rail Station south of Bakhmut.[38] Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian forces storming Russian positions east of Bakhmut along the T0504 highway.[39] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian ground assaults west of Avdiivka near Pervomaiske and southwest of Avdiivka near Nevelske, Krasnohorivka, and Marinka.[40] Russian sources claimed there was ongoing fighting near Pervomaiske and south of Avdiivka near Opytne.[41]

Russian forces made marginal gains in their offensive push towards Vuhledar as of November 12. Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces made marginal advances into Pavlivka.[42] A Russian source claimed that Russian forces shelled Pavlivka, indicating that Russian forces likely do not control the entire settlement.[43] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian ground attack near Pavlivka.[44] The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian ground attack east of Vuhledar towards Stepne and Volodymyrivka.[45]

Military Land*

*Raport pentru 11-12.11.2022

Briefly:

Ukrainian Army liberated the right bank of Dnipro river, including the regional capital Kherson. Russian forces managed to advance near Donetsk, but all other attacks were repelled by the Ukrainian defenders.

Svatove direction

  • Ukrainian defenders repelled Russian attacks in the area of Novoselivske and Makiivka settlements.
  • A Russian recon f attacked Ukrainian positions in the area of Miasozharivka, but didn’t achieve the desired result and retreated.

Bakhmut front

  • Heavy fighting continues in Soledar, Bakhmutske and the vicinity of Bakhmut.
  • Ukrainian defender repulsed Russian attacks towards Opytne and Andriivka.

Lysychansk direction

  • Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack towards Bilohorivka.
  • The enemy attempted to seize new positions in the vicinity of Verkhnokamyanske settlement. The attack was repulsed.

Avdiivka front

  • Russian troops tried to break through Ukrainian lines in the area of Krasnohorivka and Vesele. Both attacks were repelled by the defenders.
  • The enemy managed to advance towards Opytne and captured the western outskirts. Russian sources claim the seizure of the whole settlement, but we haven’t seen any footage from the eastern part of the town, yet.
  • Russian forces attacked Ukrainain positions in the vicinity of Pervomaiske and Nevelske, but didn’t succeed and retreated.

Donetsk front

  • Fighting continues in Marinka settlement.
  • Fighting also persists in Pavlivka. Russian forces currently control the south-eastern outskirts, but are unable to progress further.

Surse ruse

Ria Novosti

▪️ În direcțiile Kupyansky și Krasno-Limansky, trupele ucrainene au încercat să atace unități ale Forțelor Armate RF, au fost oprite și aruncate înapoi la pozițiile inițiale;
▪️ pierderi totale ale inamicului pe zi în direcția Kupyansk – peste 160 de militari uciși și răniți, peste 190 de militari au fost distruși în zona Krasny Liman;
▪️În direcția Sud-Donețk, unități de mercenari străini au încercat să oprească înaintarea trupelor ruse, peste 85 de militanți au fost distruși;
▪️ În următoarele luni, în zona de operațiuni speciale vor începe să sosească cele mai moderne arme rusești, ceea ce va asigura victoria, a declarat Rogozin pentru RIA Novosti;
▪️ Grupul de consilieri militari „Lupii Țarului” colaborează cu dezvoltatorii pentru a crea drone de atac ușor pentru trupele din RPD și LPR, aceste drone urmând să fie testate chiar pe front, a spus Rogozin;
▪️ Autoritățile din Nova Kakhovka raportează un civil mort și trei răniți în urma bombardamentelor ucrainene;
▪️ Angajații administrației districtului Kakhovka din regiunea Herson părăsesc zona de 15 km de pe malul stâng al Niprului din motive de securitate;
▪️ Un militar al Miliției Populare din RPD, eliberat din captivitatea ucraineană, a declarat că militanții organizației Sectorul Dreaptă interzis în Rusia au executat prizonieri;
▪️ Federația Rusă nu a luat încă o decizie cu privire la prelungirea acordului de produse, a declarat ministrul adjunct de externe Vershinin, după consultări cu ONU la Geneva. Moscova nu este mulțumită de modul în care este implementat acordul cu ONU privind îngrășămintele.

Boris Rhojin

Pe 11 noiembrie, unități ale Brigăzii 92 de puști motorizate și Brigăzii 80 de asalt aerian separat a Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei au încercat să atace pozițiile Forțelor Armate Ruse din zona Kuzemovka (25 km nord-vest de Svatov). Potrivit Cronicii Militare, pentru descoperire, unitățile au folosit un grup blindat întărit: trei vehicule de luptă de infanterie și trei vehicule blindate Sisu Pasi XA-180, care au fost acoperite cu tancuri T-64BV și artileria brigăzii 40 a Armatei. Forțele Ucrainei.

După detectarea grupării blindate ucrainene de către drona Orlan-10 între Berestov și Novoselovsky (la 5 km de Kuzemovka), Forțele Armate RF au atacat inamicul cu ajutorul tunurilor autopropulsate Akatsiya de calibru 152 mm.

După ce au pierdut un tanc și un transportor blindat Sisu Pasi, Forțele Armate ale Ucrainei s-au retras, dar în curând au lansat un nou atac în zona Vladimirovka (30 km nord de Svatov), unde au fost descoperite de forțele speciale ale Rusiei. Forțele Aeropurtate.

Folosind dispozitive de recunoaștere LPR-3, parașutiștii au îndreptat sisteme de rachete Smerch de 300 mm către unitățile Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei. După lovitura MLRS, tancurile T-90M Proryv-3 au avansat spre linia de ciocniri, distrugând tancul T-64BV și transportorul blindat de trupe YPR-765 al Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei.
Cele mai grave pierderi în timpul incursiunii în pozițiile Forțelor Armate RF au fost suferite de brigada 80 a Forțelor Aeropurtate ale Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei de la Lviv - o încercare de a ataca Kuzemovka a costat această formație 15 oameni uciși și aproximativ o duzină de răniți.

O unitate a Brigăzii 92 Motorizate a pierdut cel puțin cinci oameni uciși și aproximativ zece răniți și s-a retras în pozițiile inițiale, lăsând parașutiștii din Lvov sub focul artileriei cu rachete a Forțelor Armate RF.

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