ISW

Key Takeaways

• Volunteer battalions that comprise Russia’s 3^rd Army Corps are likely being prepared to attempt offensive combined arms operations but will likely lack sufficient combat power to make a material difference on the battlefield.
• Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command stated that a 10-person Russian sabotage and reconnaissance group attempted assault operations in Kherson Oblast, indicating that Russian offensive capabilities in Kherson Oblast have degraded further.
• Russian forces conducted a limited ground attack north of Kharkiv City.
• Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks southwest of Izyum, northeast of Siversk, northeast and south of Bakhmut, and west and southwest of Donetsk City.
• Ukrainian forces targeted Russian airborne command-and-control elements in western Kherson Oblast.
• Russian and Ukrainian sources traded accusations of shelling the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.
• Russian military leadership may be shifting to a new phase of mobilization in central Russia and have likely exhausted pools of potential recruits in more peripheral and disenfranchised regions.
• Russian authorities are intensifying law enforcement operations in occupied areas.

Main Effort—Eastern Ukraine

Subordinate Main Effort—Southern Kharkiv, Donetsk, Luhansk Oblasts (Russian objective: Encircle Ukrainian forces in Eastern Ukraine and capture the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)

Russian forces conducted a limited ground attack southwest of Izyum on August 27. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian troops attempted to advance in the direction of Brazhkivka, about 15km southwest of Izyum.[11] Russian forces additionally continued artillery strikes and aerial reconnaissance along the Izyum-Slovyansk line and conducted a rocket strike directly on Slovyansk. [12]

Russian forces conducted a limited ground attack northeast of Siversk on August 27. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian troops attempted to launch an offensive towards Siversk from the area of Hryhorivka, about 10km northeast of Siversk.[13] The UK Ministry of Defense additionally noted that Russian forces have engaged in heavy fighting around Siversk in the past week as part of intensified offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast.[14] Russian troops continued air and artillery strikes on Siversk and its surrounding environs.[15]

Russian forces continued ground attacks northeast and south of Bakhmut on August 27. The Ukrainian General Staff stated that Ukrainian troops repelled Russian assaults in Soledar, 10km northeast of Bakhmut.[16] Russian troops also reportedly attempted to advance from Mayorske and Zaitseve on the outskirts of Horlivka, about 20km southwest of Bakhmut.[17] The Ukrainian General Staff noted that “separate elements” (”Окремі підрозділи” – a term meaning elements at an echelon at or below a battalion) are active in the overall Bakhmut area, which suggests that Russian forces are operating in piecemeal sub-battalion formations around Bakhmut.[18] This report is consistent with previous reporting that advances towards Bakhmut are being led by elements of proxy and Wagner Group forces, as opposed to larger and more coherent battalion-level groups.[19]

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near the western outskirts of Donetsk City on August 27. The Ukrainian General staff stated that Russian troops attempted to advance on Nevelske (10km northwest of the outskirts of Donetsk City) and towards Oleksandropil (15km northwest of the outskirts of Donetsk City).[20] Footage taken by a Russian military correspondent indicates that Russian troops have likely advanced into the outskirts of Krasnohorivka, 8km north of Avdiivka, which indicates that Russian forces are continuing efforts to flank Avdiivka from the north.[21] Russian forces continued firing on Ukrainian positions along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City frontline.[22]

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks southwest of Donetsk City on August 27. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian troops launched ground assaults towards Prechistivka and Pavlivka, about 40km southwest of Donetsk City in the Vuhledar area.[23] Russian troops continued air and artillery strikes between Donetsk City and the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border.[24]

Supporting Effort #1—Kharkiv City (Russian objective: Defend ground lines of communication (GLOCs) to Izyum and prevent Ukrainian forces from reaching the Russian border)

Russian forces conducted a limited ground attack north of Kharkiv City on August 27. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian troops attempted an assault in the area of Dementiivka, about 20km north of Kharkiv City.[25] Russian forces conducted a missile strike against the center of Kharkiv City and shelled surrounding settlements in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast.[26]

Supporting Effort #2—Southern Axis (Russian objective: Defend Kherson and Zaporizhia Oblasts against Ukrainian counterattacks)

Ukrainian forces targeted Russian military command-and-control (C2) elements in northwestern Kherson Oblast, likely as part of the campaign to degrade Russian military capabilities on the right bank of the Dnipro River. Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that Ukrainian forces struck C2 points of Russian battalion tactical groups (BTGs) of the 11^th and 83^rd Separate Airborne Brigades in Novovoznesenske (just south of Vysokopillya) and Dudchany (on the right bank of the Dnipro River 27 kilometers southwest of Osokorovka).[27] Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that damage to the Antonivsky and Darivka bridges into western Kherson Oblast have made them impassable for heavy equipment.[28] Satellite imagery and footage of the Antonivsky and Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant dam road bridges shows significant damage that will likely make repairing them difficult.[29]

Russian forces attempted a limited ground assault in Kherson Oblast on August 27. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian reconnaissance-in-force attempt near Potomkyne in northwestern Kherson Oblast.[30] The Russian Defense Ministry claimed that Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian ground assault to cross the Inhulets bridgehead near Lozove, Kherson Oblast, but Ukrainian forces most likely control the bridgehead.[31] Russian forces struck Mykolaiv City with Smerch rockets and continued shelling throughout the line of contact.[32]

Russian and Ukrainian sources again traded accusations of shelling the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) on August 27. Ukraine state nuclear energy agency Energoatom stated that Russian forces have repeatedly shelled the ZNPP over August 26-27, resulting in numerous fire and radioactive safety risks.[33] The Russian Defense Ministry (MoD) claimed that Ukrainian forces shelled the ZNPP grounds near nuclear storage facilities.[34] The Russian MoD still has not provided photographic or video evidence of damage at the ZNPP to support its claims that Ukrainian forces are striking the ZNPP. Russian authorities should be able to provide such evidence as Russian forces currently control the ZNPP’s territory.

Military Land*

*nu a postat rAPORTUL PENTRU ZIUA DE 27.08.2022

Surse ruse și separatiste*

*canale Telegram a unor milblogeri ruși și separatiști care la rândul lor citează surse administrative și militare din Rusia sau republicile separatiste

• Peste 200 de militanți ai brigăzilor 30 mecanizate și 95 de asalt aerian ale Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei au fost distruși în direcția Harkov;
• În zona Lozovoye, au fost lichidați peste 130 de militanți, care au făcut o altă încercare de a forța pe ascuns râul. Ingulete;
• Până la 100 de militanți au fost uciși în timpul loviturilor la punctul de desfășurare temporară a brigăzii 14 mecanizate a Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei în zona așezării. Dergachi (regiunea Harkiv);
• Aviația operațional-tactică și armată, forțele de rachete și artileria au lovit 190 de obiecte, inclusiv. punct de control al formației naționaliste „Kraken”;
  — În zona N. p. Preobrazhenka (regiunea Dnepropetrovsk) a fost distrus un mare depozit de muniție occidentală pentru obuzierele HIMARS MLRS și M777;
• În cadrul luptei contra bateriei au fost suprimate șase plutoane de artilerie și patru plutoane MLRS;
  — În zona N. p. Malinovka (DNR) a doborât un MiG-29 ucrainean;

• A distrus șapte UAV-uri inamice.
  💥 În zona așezării Lozovoe, regiunea Herson, au fost înfrânte unități ale Brigăzii 46 Aeromobile a Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei, care au făcut o altă încercare de a forța pe ascuns râul Ingulets. Pierderile inamicului s-au ridicat la peste o sută treizeci de militanți și 10 unități de echipament militar.
  💥 Ca urmare a loviturilor aviației operaționale-tactice ale Forțelor Aerospațiale Ruse asupra pozițiilor de luptă ale unităților batalionului 107 din brigada 63 mecanizată a Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei din regiunea Kvitnevoye din regiunea Nikolaev, mai mult peste 40 la sută din personalul acestei unități a fost distrus.
  Bătălia pentru Maryinka
  ▪️În ultima săptămână, linia frontului în Maryinka nu s-a schimbat semnificativ. Unitățile RPD NM efectuează bombardamente intensive de artilerie în centrul satului. În ruinele sectorului privat se apropie bătălii de împușcături.
  ▪️Unitățile Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei care îl apără pe Marinka suferă pierderi din cauza focului concentrat al forțelor aliate, dar reaprovizionarea regulată a unităților cu rezerviști permite Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei să țină frontul.
  Bombardamente
  ▪️Depozitul ucrainean cu rachete pentru MLRS HIMARS și obuze pentru obuziere M777 din regiunea Dnipropetrovsk a fost distrus de arme de înaltă precizie la sol.
  ▪️Forțele aliate în direcția Harkov și în regiunea Herson au distrus peste 300 de militanți într-o zi
  💥 Până la 100 de naționaliști, trei vehicule de luptă Grad MLRS, precum și peste 10 vehicule și vehicule blindate au fost distruse în zona așezării Dergachi, regiunea Harkov, ca urmare a loviturilor cu arme de înaltă precizie al Forțelor Aerospațiale Ruse la punctul de desfășurare temporară a brigăzii 14 mecanizate a Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei.
  💥 de la începutul operațiunii militare speciale au fost distruse: 274 avioane, 148 elicoptere, 1.820 vehicule aeriene fără pilot, 370 sisteme de rachete antiaeriene, 4.397 tancuri și alte vehicule blindate de luptă, 822 vehicule de luptă cu lansare multiplă. sisteme de rachete, 3.348 de tunuri de artilerie de câmp și mortare, precum și 5084 de unități de vehicule militare speciale.