ISW Key inflections in ongoing military operations on September 25 ISW identified three small changes in control of terrain in the past 24 hours: Ukrainian forces likely liberated the town of Shevchenko in Donetsk Oblast.[9] Ukrainian forces likely control Maliivka in Kharkiv Oblast Ukrainian forces are contesting Russian positions around Karpivka, Nove, Ridkodub, and Novoserhiivka […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 213, 24.09.2022
ISW Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued to make localized gains along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 24. A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian assault detachments occupied the settlements of Hrianykivka and Horobivka in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast (about 70km east of Chuhuiv).[12] Russian sources additionally indicated that […]
R. Myers (Defensionem): About russian mobilisation & stuff
The frontline seems to have stabilised itself. The Ukrainians have retaken Bilohorivka, which means the AFU is back in the Lughansk Oblast! Meanwhile, the Russians keep on making incremental gains in the Donetsk Oblast around Bakhmut and elsewhere. Heavy fighting was reported in Liman, Kreminna and around Kupiansk. The Urkainian army is trying to push […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 212, 23.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces continued to repel Russian effort to regain lost positions around eastern Kupyansk on September 23.[15] Ukrainian officials also reported that Russian forces again unsuccessfully targeted a dam over the Pechenihy Reservoir likely in an effort to flood […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 211, 22.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued limited counteroffensive operations along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian troops repelled a Russian attack on Kupyansk (northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, near the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border).[21] The General Staff report is consistent […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 210, 21.09.2022
ISW Russia’s partial mobilization will not transform the war this year and may or may not have a significant impact on Russia’s ability to continue operations at their current level next year. Ukraine and the West should neither dismiss it nor exaggerate it. Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely […]
M. Daniels (Defensionem): About Russia increasingly army în Ukraine
Russia announced recently that up to a total of 300,000 reservists will be called up for the military efforts in Ukraine. While several other media entities and personalities have already dismissed this as another Russian blunder and a fanciful act of desperation, we are not. This is a major escalation by Russia. Firstly, despite claims […]
Ucraina: se schimbă paradigma războiului
În momentul de față războiul din Ucraina se desfășoară în paradigma impusă de restricțiile Operațiunii Militare Speciale (OMS): Rusia nu putea folosi în Ucraina mai mult de 10-15% din efectivele sale militare. Deci cele sub 200.000 soldați ruși (i-am introdus în calcul și pe cei 40.000 soldați ai republicilor separatiste) înfruntau efective militare cel puțin […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 208, 20.09.2022
ISW Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued offensive operations along the Lyman-Yampil-Bilohorivka line on September 20. An unnamed senior US defense official stated that Ukrainian and Russian forces are engaged in artillery duels near Lyman.[19] Several Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops are attacking Lyman from the northwest […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 207, 19.09.2022
ISW Urgent discussion on September 19 among Russia’s proxies of the need for Russia to immediately annex Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts (much of the latter of which is not under Russian control) suggests that Ukraine’s ongoing northern counter-offensive is panicking proxy forces and some Kremlin decision-makers. The legislatures of Russia’s proxies in occupied Ukraine, the Donetsk […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 207, 18.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces are continuing to establish positions on the east bank of the Oskil River. A Russian source reported that fighting is ongoing in eastern Kupyansk, indicating that Ukrainian forces are consolidating prior gains.[14] The Ukrainian General Staff stated that Ukrainian forces repelled […]
R.B. Myers: War in Ukraine updates
The Ukrainian authorities are hunting for “Russian Sympathisers” in the recently liberated territories. The definition is very loose and acts of violence have been reported. Many citizens in the region are indeed sympathetic to the separatist cause and not all of them managed to evacuate to the Russian lines or Russia proper following the Russian withdrawal from the Oblast. There are currently several active Ukrainian Telegram channels dedicated to allowing citizens to denounce their neighbours to the authorities for acts of traitorous collaboration. Ukrainian adviser to the Ukrainian president Alexey Arestovitch has confirmed that civil servants that remained in their post and worked under Russian authorities (including council workers and teachers) are indeed criminals and should be punished. Furthermore, it was announced that all Ukrainian citizens that have voluntarily acquired Russian passports will be convicted of treason by Ukrainian authorities.
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 206. 17.09.2022
ISW Russian forces continue to conduct meaningless offensive operations around Donetsk City and Bakhmut instead of focusing on defending against Ukrainian counteroffensives that continue to advance. Russian troops continue to attack Bakhmut and various villages near Donetsk City of emotional significance to pro-war residents of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) but little other importance. The Russians […]
Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 205. 16.09.2022
ISW: Russian President Vladimir Putin appeared to threaten increased attacks on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure if reported Ukrainian attacks on Russian military positions in Russian Federation territory continue. Putin said that Russia has been “rather restrained in our response” to Ukrainian “terrorist acts [and] attempts to damage our civilian [sic] infrastructure” in a question-and-answer session with reporters following the Shanghai Cooperation Organization meeting on September
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 204 – 15.09.2022
ISW Ukrainian forces are continuing counteroffensive operations in eastern Ukraine, increasingly pressuring Russian positions and logistics lines in eastern Kharkiv, northern Luhansk, and eastern Donetsk oblasts. Russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing ground operations southwest of Izyum, near Lyman, and on the east bank of the Oskil River, reportedly compelling Russian forces to withdraw […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 201 – 13.09.2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counter-offensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces continued to consolidate gains in eastern Kharkiv Oblast on September 13 and are likely conducting ground attacks in northern Donetsk Oblast. Ukrainian forces likely hope to take advantage of recent gains in Sviatohirsk (just south of the Kharkiv-Donetsk Oblast border […]
B.Serge: Special Military Operation, Season 2
Expectations
Russian escalation of attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure and command centers.
Russian force deployment raised without full mobilization.
Intensification of Russian efforts to recover DNR territory.
Possible escalation in Syria, likely in the form of Syrian army attacks on US bases.
M. Daniels (FB): Ce poate fi retragerea rusă din Donbas
Looking forward, this and the following week will be very telling on what becomes of this situation. Despite recent claims of „Ukrainian Blitzkriegs” as well as other site[s] stealing my articles, and as well as the various claims of the entire eradication and doom of the Russian Army, the Russian Army is still very much in Ukraine, it is not yet defeated and it is not surrendering in detail or even withdrawing to Russia. It’s still there and that means what it implies.
Ofensiva ucraineană în Harkov. Ziua 6 – 11.09.2022
Deoarece zona Harkov a fost cedată, practic, de către armata rusă către unitățile armatei ucrainene, acesta este ultimul articol dedicat acestei ofensive – o reușită, o mare reușită militară a Ucrainei.Pentru viitor voi relua articolele pe tema „RĂZBOI ÎN UCRAINA. UPDATE”. Probabil ofensiva ucraineană va continua pe frontul de Est (Ugledar, cel mai probabil, sau […]
Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 200 – 11.09.2022
ISW Recucerirea ucraineană a Izyum a pus capăt perspectivei ca Rusia să-și atingă obiectivele declarate în regiunea Donețk. După ce s-a retras de la Kiev la începutul lunii aprilie, obiectivele declarate ale Rusiei au fost de a ocupa întregul teritoriu al regiunilor Lugansk și Donețk.[1] Campania rusă pentru atingerea acestor obiective a fost un atac de-a lungul […]
RB Myers (FB): Ukraine offensive update
It seems the Russian armed forces will try and build a stable defensive line along the Oskil and Seversky Donets rivers. On the one hand, water level is relatively low on those two rivers at this time of the year. On the other hand, the retreat should have freed more troops, enabling the Russians to establish defensive lines with a higher manpower density than before. This is a race between the two armies and their attached logistics.
Ofensiva ucraineană în Harkov. Ziua 5 – 10.09.2022
Ukrainian forces in Kharkiv Oblast are collapsing Russia’s northern Donbas axis, and Ukrainian forces will likely recapture Izyum itself in the next 48 hours.
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced the withdrawal of troops from the Balakliya-Izyum line on September 10
Ofensiva ucraineană în Harkov. Ziua 4 – 9.09.2022
Ukrainian forces have captured an estimated 2,500 square kilometers in Kharkiv Oblast in the Kharkiv counteroffensive as of September 9.
The Kremlin is rushing resources to Kharkiv Oblast in response to effective Ukrainian operations.
Ukrainian forces reached the outskirts of Kupyansk and are advancing on Izyum from the northwest, north, northeast, and southeast as of September 9 and will likely sever Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCS) to Izyum within the coming days.
Ofensiva ucraineană în Kherson. Ziua 11 – 9.09.2022
În urma faptul că pentru administrația ucraineană informațiile privitoare la operațiile militare în Kherson sunt secrete de stat, articolul se bazează exclusiv pe surse ruse și separatiste, fie oficiale fie din partea milblogerilor ruși.Pe de altă parte, așa cum se vede și din acest articol, frontul din Kherson devine un sector secundar, în favoarea ofensivei […]
Ofensiva ucraineană în Kherson. Ziua 11 – 8.09.2022
În urma faptul că pentru administrația ucraineană informațiile privitoare la operațiile militare în Kherson sunt secrete de stat, articolul se bazează exclusiv pe surse ruse și separatiste, fie oficiale fie din partea milblogerilor ruși. Pe de altă parte, așa cum se vede și din acest articol, frontul din Kherson devine un sector secundar, în favoarea […]
Ofensiva ucraineană în Harkov, ziua 3 – 8.09.2022
În urma faptului că pentru administrația ucraineană informațiile privitoare la operațiile militare sunt cenzurate, articolul se bazează exclusiv pe surse ruse și separatiste, fie oficiale fie din partea milblogerilor ruși. Am decis însă și introducerea analizei făcute de către institutul american ISW, care folosește mult mai multe surse, ucrainene și ruse (și, pe deasupra, agregarea […]
Ofensiva ucraineană în Harkov. Ziua 2 – 7.09.2022
Se pare că ofensiva ucraineană nu se rezumă la Kherson, ci are loc și în regiunea Harkov. Practiv ofensiva a debutat ieri, cu victorii tactice importante pentru partea ucraineană. Începem în consecință să reflectăm desfășurarea operațiilor militare. Folosim resursele care ne stau la îndenână, deci predominant surse ruse (partea ucraineană nu oferă detalii). Analiză Boris […]
Ofensiva Ucraineană în Kherson. Ziua 10 – 7.09.2022
Până în a noua zi de la începutul ofensivei ucrainene asupra Hersonului, linia frontului se stabilizase. Forțele armate ale Ucrainei încă nu renunță la încercarea de a-și extinde punctul de sprijin pentru avansarea în continuare la Nova Kakhovka și Herson
R. Myers (FB): Ukrainian Kherson offensive
The centre of gravity of the Ukrainian offensive seems to be situated on the „Inhulets River Bridgehead”. The area is heavily contested and both sides have sent in reinforcements. While the Russian side claimed it was about to encircle and reduce the bridgehead, the Ukrainians have actually managed to enlarge the area under their control. […]
Ofensiva ucraineană în Kherson. Ziua 9 – 6.09.2022
În majoritatea zonelor, luptele au căpătat un caracter pozițional. Inamicul continuă să încerce să extindă capul de pod pe râul Ingulets, lângă Andreevka. Luptele au loc la Kostroma și Sukhoi Stavka. Trecerile Forțelor Armate ale Ucrainei pe Ingulets au fost din nou sparte.
Război în Ucraina. Update 5 Septembrie 2022
ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Ukrainian military officials maintained their operational silence and did not release any information pertaining to Ukrainian advances in Kherson Oblast on September 5. Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that Ukrainian forces shot down two Russian reconnaissance drones in Vysokopillya after previously not confirming that Ukrainian […]
RBM(FB): Ukraine summary of events since the 17th of July
The offensive is in its first week. We might see Kiev push on for another 7 to 10 days after which we expect their offensive to start running out of steam. The Ukrainian leadership possibly knew this and that is maybe why they waited until the end of summer before launching this offensive: A big push limited in time before Autumn’s rain and mud freeze the frontline in place. The narrative from Kiev is already slowly changing. The offensive is now an operation destined to “grind” Russian troops and inflict “attrition” on them while degrading their capabilities. The fact that it is the side with the smallest reserve in manpower that is trying to play the attrition game is puzzling, to say the least.








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