Arhive etichete: Donbas

Despre Ucraina. Interviu R. Zlati (1)


Sfârșitul lui ianuarie 2023. Vorbim despre derularea conflictului militar dar mai ales despre rădăcinile lui, mai mult sau mai puțin evidente.

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R. Freeman: Am atins Vârful Zelensky. Acum ce?


Când președintele celei mai sărace și corupte  națiuni din Europa este sărbătorit cu ovații multiple de către Camerele Congresului combinate, iar numele său este invocat în aceeași suflare cu Winston Churchill , știți că am ajuns la Vârful Zelensky . Este o supra-promovare aproape psihotică, probabil depășită doar de presa rușinoasă și hiperbolică a țării în război cu Irak, în 2003. Parafrazându-l […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 245 -26.10.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Oskil River-Kreminna Line) Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops conducted counteroffensive operations west of Svatove on October 26. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Ukrainian forces launched five consecutive and unsuccessful attacks toward Kuzemivka (13km northwest of Svatove) from Pishchane (23km northwest […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 218, 30.09.2022


ISW Putin announced that Russia’s usual autumn conscription cycle will start a month late on November 1, likely because Russia’s partial mobilization of Russian men is taxing the bureaucracy of the Russian military commissariats that would usually oversee the semi-annual conscription cycle.[3] Putin’s September 30 decree calls for 120,000 Russian conscripts—7,000 fewer than in autumn 2021. […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 216, 28.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued to make significant gains around Lyman on September 28, advancing from the north along the Zelena Dolyna-Kolodiazi arc and from the southeast around Yampil. Geolocated combat footage corroborates claims made by Russian milbloggers that Ukrainians took control of […]

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RĂZBOI ÎN UCRAINA. UPDATE – ZIUA 216, 27.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces conducted operations to consolidate their positions on the eastern bank of the Oskil River north of Kupyansk on September 27. Ukrainian officials confirmed that Ukrainian forces liberated Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi (just east of Kupyansk), which reportedly serves as one of the largest […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 215, 26.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counter-offensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) The Ukrainian counter-offensive in Kharkiv and northern Donetsk Oblasts continued to make gains near Lyman on September 25 and September 26. Ukrainian forces likely captured Maliivka, Kharkiv Oblast, (25 km northwest of Lyman) on September 25.[27] Several Russian milbloggers reported that Ukrainian forces […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 214, 25.09.2022


ISW Key inflections in ongoing military operations on September 25 ISW identified three small changes in control of terrain in the past 24 hours: Ukrainian forces likely liberated the town of Shevchenko in Donetsk Oblast.[9] Ukrainian forces likely control Maliivka in Kharkiv Oblast Ukrainian forces are contesting Russian positions around Karpivka, Nove, Ridkodub, and Novoserhiivka […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 213, 24.09.2022


ISW Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued to make localized gains along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 24. A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian assault detachments occupied the settlements of Hrianykivka and Horobivka in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast (about 70km east of Chuhuiv).[12] Russian sources additionally indicated that […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 212, 23.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces continued to repel Russian effort to regain lost positions around eastern Kupyansk on September 23.[15] Ukrainian officials also reported that Russian forces again unsuccessfully targeted a dam over the Pechenihy Reservoir likely in an effort to flood […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 211, 22.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued limited counteroffensive operations along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian troops repelled a Russian attack on Kupyansk (northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, near the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border).[21] The General Staff report is consistent […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 210, 21.09.2022


ISW Russia’s partial mobilization will not transform the war this year and may or may not have a significant impact on Russia’s ability to continue operations at their current level next year.  Ukraine and the West should neither dismiss it nor exaggerate it.  Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely […]

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Ucraina: se schimbă paradigma războiului


În momentul de față războiul din Ucraina se desfășoară în paradigma impusă de restricțiile Operațiunii Militare Speciale (OMS): Rusia nu putea folosi în Ucraina mai mult de 10-15% din efectivele sale militare. Deci cele sub 200.000 soldați ruși (i-am introdus în calcul și pe cei 40.000 soldați ai republicilor separatiste) înfruntau efective militare cel puțin […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 208, 20.09.2022


ISW Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued offensive operations along the Lyman-Yampil-Bilohorivka line on September 20. An unnamed senior US defense official stated that Ukrainian and Russian forces are engaged in artillery duels near Lyman.[19] Several Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops are attacking Lyman from the northwest […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 207, 19.09.2022


ISW Urgent discussion on September 19 among Russia’s proxies of the need for Russia to immediately annex Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts (much of the latter of which is not under Russian control) suggests that Ukraine’s ongoing northern counter-offensive is panicking proxy forces and some Kremlin decision-makers. The legislatures of Russia’s proxies in occupied Ukraine, the Donetsk […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 207, 18.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces are continuing to establish positions on the east bank of the Oskil River. A Russian source reported that fighting is ongoing in eastern Kupyansk, indicating that Ukrainian forces are consolidating prior gains.[14] The Ukrainian General Staff stated that Ukrainian forces repelled […]

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R.B. Myers: War in Ukraine updates


The Ukrainian authorities are hunting for “Russian Sympathisers” in the recently liberated territories. The definition is very loose and acts of violence have been reported. Many citizens in the region are indeed sympathetic to the separatist cause and not all of them managed to evacuate to the Russian lines or Russia proper following the Russian withdrawal from the Oblast. There are currently several active Ukrainian Telegram channels dedicated to allowing citizens to denounce their neighbours to the authorities for acts of traitorous collaboration. Ukrainian adviser to the Ukrainian president Alexey Arestovitch has confirmed that civil servants that remained in their post and worked under Russian authorities (including council workers and teachers) are indeed criminals and should be punished. Furthermore, it was announced that all Ukrainian citizens that have voluntarily acquired Russian passports will be convicted of treason by Ukrainian authorities.

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 206. 17.09.2022


ISW Russian forces continue to conduct meaningless offensive operations around Donetsk City and Bakhmut instead of focusing on defending against Ukrainian counteroffensives that continue to advance. Russian troops continue to attack Bakhmut and various villages near Donetsk City of emotional significance to pro-war residents of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) but little other importance. The Russians […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 205. 16.09.2022


ISW: Russian President Vladimir Putin appeared to threaten increased attacks on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure if reported Ukrainian attacks on Russian military positions in Russian Federation territory continue. Putin said that Russia has been “rather restrained in our response” to Ukrainian “terrorist acts [and] attempts to damage our civilian [sic] infrastructure” in a question-and-answer session with reporters following the Shanghai Cooperation Organization meeting on September

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Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 204 – 15.09.2022


ISW Ukrainian forces are continuing counteroffensive operations in eastern Ukraine, increasingly pressuring Russian positions and logistics lines in eastern Kharkiv, northern Luhansk, and eastern Donetsk oblasts. Russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing ground operations southwest of Izyum, near Lyman, and on the east bank of the Oskil River, reportedly compelling Russian forces to withdraw […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 203. 14.09.2022


ISW Nu și-a postat raportul pentru ziua de 14 septembrie până azi, 15.09.2022, ora 9.25. MILITARY LAND, o platformă ucraineană de știri de război, se află în pauză temporară. Surse ruse și separatiste Comunicatul Ministerului Apărării al Federației Ruse 💥 În direcția Nikolaev-Krivoy Rog, în timpul operațiunilor ofensive nereușite ale brigăzilor 24, 28 mecanizate, 46 […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 201 – 13.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counter-offensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces continued to consolidate gains in eastern Kharkiv Oblast on September 13 and are likely conducting ground attacks in northern Donetsk Oblast. Ukrainian forces likely hope to take advantage of recent gains in Sviatohirsk (just south of the Kharkiv-Donetsk Oblast border […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 201 – 12.09.2022


ISW Recomandări cheie Contraofensive ucrainene (eforturile ucrainene de a elibera teritoriile ocupate de ruși) Estul Ucrainei: (linia Vovchansk-Kupiansk-Izyum-Lyman) Forțele ucrainene au continuat să consolideze câștigurile în estul Oblast Harkov pe 12 septembrie. Detașamentul din Oblastul Harkiv al forțelor speciale ale Regimentului Azov ucrainean a declarat că trupele ucrainene au preluat controlul asupra întregii părți de […]

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RB Myers (FB): Ukraine offensive update


It seems the Russian armed forces will try and build a stable defensive line along the Oskil and Seversky Donets rivers. On the one hand, water level is relatively low on those two rivers at this time of the year. On the other hand, the retreat should have freed more troops, enabling the Russians to establish defensive lines with a higher manpower density than before. This is a race between the two armies and their attached logistics.

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Război în Ucraina. Update 6 Septembrie 2022


*informații detailate despre ofensiva ucraineană în Kherson din ziua de 6.09.2022 puteți citi AICI ISW Ukrainian forces conducted a counterattack in Kharkiv Oblast near Balakliya that likely drove Russian forces back to the left bank (north side) of the Severskyi Donets and Serednya Balakliika rivers on September 6. Ukrainian forces likely captured Verbivka (less than 3 […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update 5 Septembrie 2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Ukrainian military officials maintained their operational silence and did not release any information pertaining to Ukrainian advances in Kherson Oblast on September 5. Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that Ukrainian forces shot down two Russian reconnaissance drones in Vysokopillya after previously not confirming that Ukrainian […]

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RBM(FB): Ukraine summary of events since the 17th of July


The offensive is in its first week. We might see Kiev push on for another 7 to 10 days after which we expect their offensive to start running out of steam. The Ukrainian leadership possibly knew this and that is maybe why they waited until the end of summer before launching this offensive: A big push limited in time before Autumn’s rain and mud freeze the frontline in place. The narrative from Kiev is already slowly changing. The offensive is now an operation destined to “grind” Russian troops and inflict “attrition” on them while degrading their capabilities. The fact that it is the side with the smallest reserve in manpower that is trying to play the attrition game is puzzling, to say the least.

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Documentare despre Donbas (și nu numai)


Prezintă „istoria” conflictului din Donbas într-o manieră neobișnuită nouă, românilor, care am preluat (majoritatea dintre noi – inclusiv eu, până la un moment dat) informații doar din presa mainstream. Presă care, conștient sau nu, urma liniile unei anumite narative. Nici atunci (2014; 2014-2022) și nici acum, adevărul nu a interesat decât pe foarte puțini. Aveți mai jos două exemple de gândire în afara grilei oficiale de percepere și interpretare a evenimentelor, de la Euro-maidan la războiul din Donbas.

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Război în Ucraina. Update 7 August 2022


Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks southwest and southeast of Izyum, east of Siversk, and to the east and south of Bakhmut.
Russian forces have likely made incremental gains in settlements on the northwestern and southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City and continued efforts to break Ukrainian defensive lines along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line of contact.
Russian forces unsuccessfully attempted to advance east of Mykolaiv City on August 7.

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Război în Ucraina. Update 25 Iulie 2022


ISW Russian forces made marginal territorial gains south of Bakhmut on July 25 but are largely suffering from the same fundamental limitations that previously prevented them from rapidly gaining substantial ground during offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast. Geolocated social media footage from July 25 shows that troops of the Wagner Group Private Military Company (PMC) have […]

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Război în Ucraina. Update 24 Iulie


ISW Ukrainian officials are increasingly acknowledging Ukrainian counteroffensive operations in Kherson Oblast. Kherson Oblast Administration Advisor Serhiy Khlan stated on July 24 that Ukrainian forces are undertaking unspecified counteroffensive actions in Kherson Oblast.[1] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on July 23 that Ukrainian forces are advancing “step by step” in Kherson Oblast.[2] His statement does not make clear […]

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De ce Zelensky ar fi dorit războiul?


Afirmam într-un articol de ieri (aici) că nu numai Putin dorea conflictul cu Ucraina, ci și Zelensky dorea, poate cu aceeași ardoare, un conflict deschis cu Rusia. De aceea a făcut cam totul (nici nu era greu, admit acest lucru) ca Putin să atace. Mai jos argumentarea mea privitor la această ipoteză, argumentare posttă în […]

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Update 17 iulie


ISW Russian forces are continuing a measured return from the operational pause and conducted limited ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast on July 17. As ISW has previously noted, the end of the Russian operational pause is unlikely to create a massive new wave of ground assaults across multiple axes of advance despite Russian Defense Minister Sergei […]

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