Arhive etichete: Ucraina

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 249 – 30.10.2022


Ministerul Apărării a anunțat o ofensivă în direcția Sud-Donețk: trupele ruse au avansat la mai bine de trei kilometri adâncime în apărarea inamicului și au ajuns la periferia Pavlovka.
▪️ Ministerul Apărării a spus că una dintre dronele navale folosite pentru a ataca Sevastopolul a fost lansată din zona de securitate a coridorului de cereale.
▪️ În direcția Kupiansk, trupele ucrainene și mercenari străini au lansat șapte atacuri fără succes, pierderile inamicului s-au ridicat la 250 de persoane

Comentarii dezactivate • Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 248 – 29.10.2022


Ukrainian forces advanced in Luhansk Oblast, and gained fire control over the Kreminna – Svatove road as the result. The Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is holding, despite the numerous attacks by Russian forces.
Russian troops managed to reach the outskirts of Vodyane north of Donetsk Airport. It’s the second meaningful advance of the enemy in this area since the start of the Russian re-invasion (Pisky being first).

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 247 – 28.10.2022


Russian forces are not making significant progress around Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast or anywhere else along the front lines.
President Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced the end of partial mobilization.
Putin may be attempting to rehabilitate Shoigu’s image in the information space to counter the growing influence of the pro-war siloviki faction.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in the direction of Kreminna and Svatove.
Russian forces continued to deploy mobilized personnel to and establish defensive positions on the west bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in northwestern Kherson Oblast.
Russian forces continued ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast.

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 246 – 27.10.2022


ISW Key Takeaways                 Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to reject Ukrainian sovereignty in a way that is fundamentally incompatible with serious negotiations. A senior Russian official threatened that Russia could target Western commercial satellites supporting Ukraine. Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast and along the Kreminna-Lysychansk line. Russian […]

Continuă citirea →

D. Macgregor: Playing at War in Ukraine


In Ukraine going forward, Washington’s path is clear. Congress should do its duty and signal its readiness to invoke the War Powers Act, while also demanding that the Biden administration broker peace, not expand the war

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 245 -26.10.2022


ISW Key Takeaways A Reuters investigation of Russian documents from Balakliya supports previous ISW assessments about the poor conditions of Russian forces. Putin stated that Ukraine has “lost its sovereignty” in an October 26 speech indicating that Russia likely retains its maximalist objectives in Ukraine and remains resistant to negotiations. Russian occupation officials in Kherson Oblast are […]

Continuă citirea →

J. F. Matlock jr.: Why the US must press for a ceasefire in Ukraine


Some will argue that the United States has a moral obligation to support whatever the Ukrainian leaders demand since “they know best.” No, they do not know best what is in the security interests of the American people, and that should be the primary concern of any American government. They also, under the stress of war, may not be the best judges of their own ultimate security interests.

Continuă citirea →

H. Brands (Bloomberg): Russia Is Right


The war in Ukraine isn’t just a conflict between Moscow and Kyiv, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov recently declared. It is a “proxy war” in which the world’s most powerful military alliance, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is using Ukraine as a battering ram against the Russian state. Lavrov is one of the most reliable […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 244 – 25.10.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Russian siloviki factions continue to voice dissatisfaction with the Russian war effort in Ukraine, likely indicating that President Vladimir Putin will struggle to appease the pro-war faction. Direct confrontations between Putin and siloviki members regarding the war in Ukraine illustrate the significance of siloviki factions in Russian power structures. Russian officials are likely rhetorically realigning the war in […]

Continuă citirea →

Scot Ritter: Singurii adulți din încăpere sunt rușii


NOTĂ: Aceasta este o transcriere a unui interviu recent cu Scott Ritter despre Clearing the FOG. Ritter spune că exercițiile militare NATO care simulează un atac nuclear împotriva Rusiei, începând cu această săptămână, ar putea declanșa război nuclear și ar trebui amânate, dar „nu sunt adulți în cameră” pregătiți pentru asta. Ritter prezice, de asemenea, […]

Continuă citirea →

A. Medvedev: Abandonarea Kherson?


Retragerea trupelor și ieșirea civililor pentru a menține potențialul de luptă este o decizie logică pentru militari. Pentru cetățenii obișnuiți, acesta poate să nu fie un indicator al proceselor pe care și-ar dori să le vadă.

Continuă citirea →

RB Myers: Loviturile Rusiei asupra infrastructurii Ucrainei


Kiev will try and take Kherson before end of the year. Russia is trying to hold the city with its back against the river, which is not a good position. It seems Kiev has sent reinforcements from all over Ukraine, including Kharkiv, toward Kherson. They know that if they take the city, it’ll be almost impossible for the Russians to retake it back afterwards. The Ukrainians would be able to fortify the town using the Dnieper river as a wet moat.

Continuă citirea →

Military Land: Ukrainian Winter is Coming


For Ukrainian and Russian military planners, the clock is ticking.  Already, rainy fall weather is bringing muddy conditions that are starting to limit the mobility of tanks and other heavy equipment.

Continuă citirea →

R.B. Miers: Noutăți pe frontul ucrainean (oct. 2022)


Autumnal mud is coming. And then winter. And with it, 200,000 to 300,000 Russian reservists.

Comentarii dezactivate • Continuă citirea →

R.B. Miers: Last week in Ukraine


Referenda On the 20th of September, The authorities of the DPR and LPR alongside Russian controlled regions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia announced they would hold a referendum on reunification/incorporation/annexation (pick your poison) with the Russian Federation. The dates for the referenda would stretch from the 23rd to the 27th of September 2023. One question figured […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 223 – 4.10.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian forces continued to make significant gains in Kherson Oblast while simultaneously continuing advances in Kharkiv and Luhansk Oblast. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement of partial mobilization is having more significant short-term impacts on the Russian domestic context than on the war in Ukraine, catalyzing fractures in the information space that confuse […]

Comentarii dezactivate • Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 221 – 3.10.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian forces have made substantial gains around Lyman and in northern Kherson Oblast over the last 24 hours. The Russian units defeated on these fronts were previously considered to be among Russia’s premier conventional fighting forces. Russian President Vladimir Putin may use the appointment of Lieutenant-General Roman Berdnikov to the command of […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 220 – 2.10.2022


ISW Key inflections in ongoing military operations on October 2: Ukrainian forces continued to liberate settlements east and northeast of Lyman and have liberated Torske in Donetsk Oblast. Russian sources claimed that Russian forces withdrew from their positions northeast of Lyman, likely to positions around Kreminna and along the R66 Svatove-Kreminna highway.[24] Ukrainian forces continued to advance […]

Comentarii dezactivate • Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 219 – 1.10.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Ukrainian forces liberated Lyman and are likely clearing the settlement as of October 1. Russia is likely setting conditions to assume legal responsibility for the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP). Ukrainian troops are continuing to conduct counteroffensive operations in Kherson Oblast and setting conditions for future advances. Russian forces conducted ground attacks […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update ziua 218, 30.09.2022


ISW Putin announced that Russia’s usual autumn conscription cycle will start a month late on November 1, likely because Russia’s partial mobilization of Russian men is taxing the bureaucracy of the Russian military commissariats that would usually oversee the semi-annual conscription cycle.[3] Putin’s September 30 decree calls for 120,000 Russian conscripts—7,000 fewer than in autumn 2021. […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 216, 28.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Russian military leadership has likely failed to set information conditions for the potential defeat of the Russian grouping in Lyman, despite increasingly concerned discourse among Russian milbloggers regarding the potential for a Ukrainian envelopment of Lyman. The Kremlin could temporarily postpone announcing the annexation of Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory to better prepare the […]

Continuă citirea →

RĂZBOI ÎN UCRAINA. UPDATE – ZIUA 216, 27.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Russian President Vladimir Putin will likely announce the Russian annexation of occupied Ukrainian territory on September 30 after Russian officials completed their falsified “referenda” on September 27. Russian forces are reportedly committing newly-mobilized Western Military District (WMD) men to the Kherson and Kharkiv Oblast frontlines without prior training. Ukrainian forces are consolidating […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 215, 26.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways The Kremlin is attempting to message its way out of the reality of major problems in the execution of its “partial mobilization,” but its narratives are unlikely to placate Russians who can perceive the real mistakes all around them. The Kremlin’s planned annexation of occupied Ukraine may take place before or shortly […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 214, 25.09.2022


ISW Key inflections in ongoing military operations on September 25 ISW identified three small changes in control of terrain in the past 24 hours: Ukrainian forces likely liberated the town of Shevchenko in Donetsk Oblast.[9] Ukrainian forces likely control Maliivka in Kharkiv Oblast Ukrainian forces are contesting Russian positions around Karpivka, Nove, Ridkodub, and Novoserhiivka […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 213, 24.09.2022


ISW Ukrainian Counteroffensives (Ukrainian efforts to liberate Russian-occupied territories) Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line) Ukrainian forces likely continued to make localized gains along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 24. A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian assault detachments occupied the settlements of Hrianykivka and Horobivka in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast (about 70km east of Chuhuiv).[12] Russian sources additionally indicated that […]

Continuă citirea →

R. Myers (Defensionem): About russian mobilisation & stuff


The frontline seems to have stabilised itself. The Ukrainians have retaken Bilohorivka, which means the AFU is back in the Lughansk Oblast! Meanwhile, the Russians keep on making incremental gains in the Donetsk Oblast around Bakhmut and elsewhere. Heavy fighting was reported in Liman, Kreminna and around Kupiansk. The Urkainian army is trying to push […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 212, 23.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Russian partial mobilization efforts are suffering from serious and systemic problems in their first days, generating popular resentment and setting conditions to produce a mobilized reserve force incapable of accomplishing the tasks Russian President Vladimir Putin has set for it. Protests, attacks against recruiting centers, and vandalism have occurred across Russia in […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 211, 22.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways The Kremlin’s heavy-handed approach to partial mobilization may successfully meet the Kremlin’s internal quota of mobilized personnel, but is unlikely to generate effective soldiers and is prompting significant domestic backlash for little gain. The Kremlin is openly not adhering to its promised conditions for partial mobilization. Kremlin quotas will likely force local […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 210, 21.09.2022


ISW Russia’s partial mobilization will not transform the war this year and may or may not have a significant impact on Russia’s ability to continue operations at their current level next year.  Ukraine and the West should neither dismiss it nor exaggerate it.  Russian President Vladimir Putin’s announced “partial mobilization” will not materially affect the course […]

Continuă citirea →

M. Daniels (Defensionem): About Russia increasingly army în Ukraine


Russia announced recently that up to a total of 300,000 reservists will be called up for the military efforts in Ukraine. While several other media entities and personalities have already dismissed this as another Russian blunder and a fanciful act of desperation, we are not. This is a major escalation by Russia. Firstly, despite claims […]

Continuă citirea →

Ucraina: se schimbă paradigma războiului


În momentul de față războiul din Ucraina se desfășoară în paradigma impusă de restricțiile Operațiunii Militare Speciale (OMS): Rusia nu putea folosi în Ucraina mai mult de 10-15% din efectivele sale militare. Deci cele sub 200.000 soldați ruși (i-am introdus în calcul și pe cei 40.000 soldați ai republicilor separatiste) înfruntau efective militare cel puțin […]

Comentarii dezactivate • Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 208, 20.09.2022


ISW oblasts announced on September 20 that they will hold a “referendum” on acceding to Russia, with a vote taking place from September 23-27. The Kremlin’s annexation plans are primarily targeting a domestic audience; Putin likely intends to improve Russian force generation capabilities by calling on the Russian people to volunteer for a war ostensibly […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 207, 19.09.2022


ISW Urgent discussion on September 19 among Russia’s proxies of the need for Russia to immediately annex Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts (much of the latter of which is not under Russian control) suggests that Ukraine’s ongoing northern counter-offensive is panicking proxy forces and some Kremlin decision-makers. The legislatures of Russia’s proxies in occupied Ukraine, the Donetsk […]

Continuă citirea →

Război în Ucraina. Update – ziua 207, 18.09.2022


ISW Key Takeaways Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be increasingly relying on irregular, poorly trained ad-hoc volunteer and proxy units rather than attempting to rebuild damaged or destroyed conventional Russian ground forces units. Ukrainian forces continue to consolidate positions on the east bank of the Oskil River in Kharkiv Oblast despite Russian efforts to […]

Continuă citirea →

R.B. Myers: War in Ukraine updates


The Ukrainian authorities are hunting for “Russian Sympathisers” in the recently liberated territories. The definition is very loose and acts of violence have been reported. Many citizens in the region are indeed sympathetic to the separatist cause and not all of them managed to evacuate to the Russian lines or Russia proper following the Russian withdrawal from the Oblast. There are currently several active Ukrainian Telegram channels dedicated to allowing citizens to denounce their neighbours to the authorities for acts of traitorous collaboration. Ukrainian adviser to the Ukrainian president Alexey Arestovitch has confirmed that civil servants that remained in their post and worked under Russian authorities (including council workers and teachers) are indeed criminals and should be punished. Furthermore, it was announced that all Ukrainian citizens that have voluntarily acquired Russian passports will be convicted of treason by Ukrainian authorities.

Continuă citirea →